- Starting at the top, RCP average has Obama leading Romney by 1.6% (45.4-43.8). That is consistent with the Obama approval rating (essentially 48-48). But when I start to look a the other numbers, it just doesn't add up.
- Direction of the Country is not in the Democrat's favor. 33.8%-58.5% say the country is on the wrong track. This is RCP average, but it is fairly consistent across all polls.
- Congressional Job Approval is just 14.6% (RCP avg....FOX poll shows lowest at 12%). One can argue that Republican recalcitrance (that is your 25-cent word of the day) is the cause. But it's not reflected in the Generic Ballot Ballot. Rasmussen and USA Today/Gallup show the GOP up big, file the Democrat-leaning pollsters Democracy Corps and Quinnipiac show Democrats up slightly. RCP average again showing GOP candidates up 1.6%.
- While economic confidence is up, it is still a dismal view. And the number appears to have plateaued.
Nearly everything points to a huge defeat for Democrats and RINOs, but the Presidential polling doesn't show it. All I can come up with here is that the voters confuse personal likability with "Job Approval". Or the voters have lost their minds.
What say you?