I believe the Republicans are in a no-win on the debt ceiling. Shut down the government and the administration will withhold Social Security checks. Check and Mate. The media will scream bloody murder over the Republicans starving grandma and the Indies will buy it. Allow the debt ceiling to rise and taxes to increase and the TEA Party Wing stays home in 2012. In addition, the Democrats and their Big Media beat the GOP over the head with that club. The McConnell Plan may be the biggest problem. Successful and Obama gets the credit. Disaster (which I expect) and it's "the McConnell Plan".
The GOP might as well stick to their guns. They're doomed anyway.